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While investors can approach 2021 with optimism that an effective Covid-19 vaccine will be available, the path of the economic recovery remains unclear. A broader toolkit of investments is needed – not just the regions, sectors and strategies that have recently done well.
A Biden victory and split Congress may be welcomed by markets
With President-elect Joe Biden facing a split Congress, investors could welcome the resulting “Biden-lite” agenda, which may include portions of his spending plans – such as fiscal stimulus and infrastructure investment – but little in the way of tax increases.
Mid-year outlook: markets could rise more despite the recession
The financial markets reacted to the coronavirus with an unprecedented first-quarter drop, then turned around quickly. This appetite for risk in the face of the deepest recession since the 1930s is quite unusual, but the markets are being driven by optimism about potential economic improvement down the road – so we can’t exclude a further rise in equity prices.
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